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Tropical Weather Picture

Tropical Depression may be forming

Thursday, August 18, 2011 - 6:34am

Today Satellite pictures show that shower and storms associated with a Tropical Wave located about 200 miles SSW of Jamaica is becoming better organized. Surface observations are also falling indicating that a Tropical Depression may be forming and could happen as early as today or tonight. The system is forecasted to continue to move towards the west at 15mph. The chance of development has been raised to 80%. Computer forecast models continue to show a general WNW movement towards Central America.

Invest #94 A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 875 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY. SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT IS NOT LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT AFTER THAT TIME. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.  

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