Happy August 1st! Unfortunately, we know what that means. We are now entering the historical heart of the Atlantic hurricane season. The climatologically most active 12 weeks of the season.
Hurricane season spans 6 months long from June 1-November 30, but August-September-October are the meat of the season. Since 1966 August-October has made up for 76% of named storms, 82% of hurricanes, 92% of major hurricanes. So, it’s important to stay vigilant over the next 12 weeks with the latest forecast.
Right now…the tropics are fairly quiet! Tropical Depression Emily continues to move Northeast into the Atlantic away from land.
A tropical wave in the far eastern Atlantic is being given a 20% chance of tropical development over the next 5 days. No imminent threat to anyone.
*Local Weather* — Waving goodbye to the pleasant dry conditions over the past several days!
Wednesday-Sunday: The “cold” front that brought us the slightly lower humidity and less hot temperatures Sunday-early Tuesday will betray us by Wednesday as it retreats northward. A series of upper level disturbances along with the remnant cold front boundary overhead will aid in the development of numerous showers and thunderstorms.
The greatest activity will be along and south of I-10 on Wednesday, but more widespread activity across Acadiana by Thursday.
Expecting 1-4 inches in some locations through Sunday. Locally higher totals possible. We will have to monitor the potential for localized flood concerns in areas that receive heavy rainfall over consecutive days.
The one positive? High temperatures over the next 5-7 days will be BELOW average! High temperatures in the mid-upper 80s to near 90 degrees due to the added cloudcover & rain.
Have a great Tuesday!
— Meteorologist Scot Pilie’