Tonight: 63 Breezy and Cloudy
Tomorrow: 77 Iso Showers and Storms
Saturday: Low: 61 High: 70 Severe Storms move through early
While ingredients needed for severe weather hasn’t changed over the last 24 hours the biggest threats have somewhat shifted given the latest model guidance. The threat for discrete supercells has fallen drastically and given way to more of a linear setup. What this means is that the squall line itself will be the thing we are watching for most when it comes to severe weather. Going into Friday afternoon with highs in upper 70’s there will be lots of energy in place and because of this we can’t rule out an isolated discrete cell in the evening and overnight hours. Any cells that form ahead of the line would bring tornado and strong wind risks mainly. Looking at the squall line, timing looks to be around 2AM to 10AM on Saturday that it moves in. Because the Low-level jet is so strong it won’t take much to see winds of 70+ mph along the line which is why the wind threat is the biggest threat we are looking at at the moment. The line should move out of the area by 8-10AM and behind it we could still see a few showers. By afternoon though we start to clear things out and nicer weather moves back in for Saturday afternoon and into Sunday.
Looking at next week, we see a warm front move into the region and sit over us for a few days giving us multiple days of shower and storm chances with temperatures in the 70’s.
-Meteorologist Cory Smith